?Dire Wolves are, so far, the only team to have beaten FURY (8-6), and they even took down Berlin Major attendees Gaimin Gladiators (7-4) last round, which is seriously impressive. Having already beaten two of three main challengers for the top finish, Dire Wolves now have what seems like a relatively smooth road to Six J?nk?ping Major 2022.

They might not be the most consistent team results-wise – seeing how Dire Wolves won Stage 1 and reached Charlotte Major, only to drop to fifth in Stage 2 – but they’re playing exceptionally well and deserve to be considered one of the top teams in the league.

Wildcard Gaming are 1-0-1-1, which is a solid record, although it includes two wins against shaky teams in Knights (7-1) and Tyde (4-7) and a loss against FURY (5-7). Notably, in their series against FURY, WCG had their chances to cause an upset, but a poor performance in the second half (1-5) left them in the dust.

Even though Wildcard Gaming have shown some promise, they are undeniably weaker than Dire Wolves, who should win with relative ease. The moneyline odds on this match aren’t great, and the esports betting sites currently don’t offer additional markets. Still, even at -217.39, it’s hard to pass on Dire Wolves.

?Fielding two former Elevate players in Sirasit “BGMan” Ariyasirisopon and Sumate “i9” Srimabut (formerly Nay..Pew), FURY were considered one of the most stacked APAC Rainbow Six Siege teams, and they’ve yet to disappoint.

Their start to the competition was a bit rough as FURY lost to Dire Wolves in overtime (6-8), but they’ve since looked unstoppable, beating Elevate (7-5) and Knights (7-4), although the games were a bit closer than what was expected. While that doesn’t necessarily mean that FURY are weak, it does mean they are beatable.

Gaimin Gladiators failed to amaze at Six Berlin Major 2022 in August, finishing in 13th-16th place with a 0-1-2-3 record. Still, as shown in Stage 2, where they were runners-up, the Gladiators can be competitive domestically.

FURY are 3-2 up in the head-to-head against Gaimin Gladiators, and they won (7-4) their most recent meeting on September 24, just a day after FURY got crushed by the Gladiators (2-0) during ROG Masters APAC ’22 SEA. It’s hard to bet against FURY in the form they’re in, but Gaimin Gladiators are a bit underrated at +120 with BetOnline.

?Tyde (0-0-0-2) and Knights (0-1-0-2) sit occupy the bottom two places in the APAC League South Division standings. Knights have won two more points – with an 8-6 victory against Wildcard Gaming – which is hardly worth celebrating, but it’s much more than what Tyde have achieved.

In Tyde’s defence, they had to face Elevate on the second playday and even won four rounds (4-7). And that’s a lot more than Knights, who got smashed by Elevate (1-7) on day one of the APAC League South. Still, using transitivity to find a pick is rarely a smart choice.

Despite performing better against the same opponent, Tyde’s core is 0-2 against Knights on the year, including a 6-8 loss in June. Moreover, the former Invictus Gaming roster also lost many key players following the transition to Tyde, so it’s unlikely that we’ll see an upset.

At -175.44, Knights are a solid bet to win.

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Parabellum Esports entered Playday 3 hot after back-to-back wins against Oxygen Esports (4-7) and XSET (7-5), but they were no match for Spacestation Gaming, who took them to Border and won 7-3. Unfortunately, Parabellum did not look much better last week when they lost against DarkZero (5-7) on Kafe.

Evidently, Parabellum have lost their momentum, so it’s fair to doubt them ahead of their clash against Astralis, who are trending in the opposite direction. Astralis started the third stage of North American League 0-2 with defeats against DarkZero (6-8) and Mirage (4-7), but they bounced back last week with wins against TSM (7-4) and beastcoast (8-6).

Despite their hot streak, Astralis have not looked too clean as a unit. Roman “Forrest” Breaux has done most of the heavy lifting – particularly in the match against beastcoast, where he averaged a 1.86 rating – and it’s hard to back a team that relies so much on a single player.

Astralis have been playing better lately, but we wouldn’t bet on them at -227.27. These are still two evenly matched teams talent-wise, so we’ll take over 11.5 rounds at -125.

Oxygen Esports are 0-4 with defeats against Parabellum Esports (4-7), Spacestation Gaming (7-8), Mirage (4-7), and XSET, who beat them 7-2 last Wednesday. With four defeats, Oxygen’s chances of reaching the Major are essentially gone, which should relieve them of some pressure knowing that they don’t have anything more to fight for. Reportedly, the players are looking to swap roles for the remainder of the competition, so we’ll have to wait and see how it plays out.

TSM, meanwhile, are 3-0-0-1 after four days of play, which sits them atop the standings, tied with Soniqs with nine points. Last week, they suffered their first defeat of the stage against Astralis (4-7), but they bounced back in style with a 7-3 victory against Soniqs. Although Soniqs had an uncharacteristically poor performance on the day, it’s hard to ignore how good TSM have been playing over the last two weeks.

At the offered Rainbow Six Siege betting odds, it’s hard not to bet on TSM to win. They might be overperforming, but TSM have definitely shown more than Oxygen Esports.

DarkZero Esports picked up two wins last week, taking down beastcoast (7-4) and Parabellum Esports (7-5). There were some close moments in both games, but DarkZero came through and closed out the deal to go 2-1-0-1 on the stage.

Spacestation Gaming were just as successful last week, with wins against Parabellum Esports (7-3) and Mirage (8-6). Although you could argue that going into overtime against Mirage doesn’t look good, we must acknowledge that Mirage are performing much better than expected.

DarkZero and Spacestation Gaming are 1-1 in the head-to-head this season. DarkZero won the first meeting in NAL Stage 1 (7-5) but lost the rematch in June (2-7). Since then, the teams have achieved similar success, and there isn’t much to separate them based on their showings in NAL Stage 3.

This seems like a coin-flip match, so we have to side with Spacestation Gaming at outsider odds.

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