Daily betting predictions
by Jur Dava in
eSport Betting Predictions

www.improbablebook.com’s free esports betting predictions for Thursday include three matches at DreamHack Open December, as well as one Dota 2 fixture at the Movistar Liga Pro Gaming Final Series and a Korean Overwatch Contenders clash between Gen.G and Runaway.

DreamHack Open December 2020

NEMIGA GAMING vs SAW CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

CS:GO Betting Odds: Nemiga -204.08 at BetOnline | sAw +149 at BetOnline
When: December 10, 2020 at 13:00 CET
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/DreamHackCS)

?Nemiga Gaming enter the opening round of DreamHack Open December 2020 with only one win from their last five outings and four consecutive losses against Gambit Esports (0-2), Illuminar (1-2), G2 Esports (0-2) and North (1-2). Saw have managed a slightly better 3-2 record which includes back-to-back losses against ENDPOINT (1-2) and Sprout (0-2).

Regardless of sAw’s two-game losing streak, the odds offered on Christopher “MUTiRiS” Fernandes and co. seem a bit high considering Nemiga can be inconsistent even when facing teams of similar quality to sAw. Additionally, sAw swept Nemiga in their most recent clash in November, so they definitely have a higher than 40.2% chance of success.

sAw to win

+149
at
BetOnline

GAMBIT ESPORTS vs MOVISTAR RIDERS CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

CS:GO Betting Odds: Gambit -714.29 at BetOnline | Movistar +396 at BetOnline
When: December 10, 2020 at 16:30 CET
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/DreamHackCS)

?The esports betting odds heavily favour Gambit Esports over Movistar Riders, and we don’t see a problem with that. Even though this is an online match where upsets are fairly common, the quality gap between these two sides makes it hard to expect any surprises.

Gambit enter this match with a 9-1 record from their last 10 outings. Vladislav “nafany” Gorshkov and co. lost only to Astralis (0-2) in that run and took a few big scalps when they bested Team Spirit (3-1), Cloud9 (2-0) and Complexity (2-0). If those results are any indication of Gambit’s strength, this should be an easy 2-0 win for the Russian side.

Gambit Esports -1.5 maps

-158.73
at
BetOnline

FORZE vs ESPADA CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

CS:GO Betting Odds: forZe +100 at BetOnline | ESPADA -135.14 at BetOnline
When: December 10, 2020 at 16:30 CET
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/DreamHackCS)

?These Russian Counter-Strike: Global Offensive derbies often go down to the wire, and we don’t believe that will change on Thursday. Although ESPADA are in better shape, that does not mean much when forZe know all of their strengths and weaknesses.

ForZe are 2-1 up in the head-to-head with ESPADA, so there is some value in siding with the outsiders. However, due to their shaky form, we will settle for slightly lower odds and predict a three-map series.

Over 2.5 maps

+109
at
BetOnline

Movistar Liga Pro Gaming Final Series

TEAM UNKNOWN vs BEASTCOAST DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

Dota 2 Betting Odds: UNK +177 at BetOnline | beastcoast -250 at BetOnline
When: December 10, 2020 at 17:00 PET
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/dota2mc)

?Team Unknown and beastcoast will clash in the Movistar Liga Pro Gaming Final Series Group A winners’ match, which will mark their second meeting of the year. They previously tied 1-1 during Realms Collide: The Burning Darkness at the end of November.

Beastcoast have since played five games and won only two. While they dealt with 4Fun (2-1) and 4Zoomers (2-0), they were far less successful against EgoBoys (0-2), Omega Gaming (0-2) and Thunder Predator (1-2). During that time, Team Unknown played out nine games and produced a 4-2-3 record.

The Dota 2 betting odds suggest beastcoast should win this match with ease, but we don’t feel like [em_geo_odds val=1.4] is a fair price. Team Unknown offers far more value as the outsiders.

Team Unknown to win

+177
at
BetOnline

Overwatch Contenders 2020: The Gauntlet

GEN.G vs RUNAWAY OWC BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

OWC Betting Odds: Gen.G +234 at BetOnline | Runaway -344.83 at BetOnline
When: December 10, 2020 at 19:00 KST
Watch Live: YouTube

?These teams last met way back in May 2020 during the third week of Korean Overwatch Contenders 2020 Season 1, where Gen.G edged out a 3-2 win. A lot of time has passed since, so it’s not wise to put too much weight on that result.

Although not as dominant as they used to be in the Overwatch APEX days, Runaway are now one of the strongest Korean Overwatch Contenders teams. Normally, we would predict Gen.G to win at least one map, but we don’t believe they will manage that feat after the departure of Jun-sun “Haeim” Hwang and former Runaway coach Jae-dong “nOrU” Kim last week.

Runaway-1.5 maps

-135.14
at
BetOnline

Esports multi bet tips for Thursday, December 10

forZe vs ESPADA over 2.5 / Gambit -1.5 / Runaway -1.5

+478
at
BetOnline
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